AIA forecast predicts 4.4 percent rise in nonresidential construction spending in 2012
A sharp spike in demand for industrial facilities, along with sustained demand for hotels and retail projects, could translate into a 4.4 percent rise in nonresidential construction spending this year, according to the American Institute of Architects semi-annual Consensus Construction Forecast. The survey of leading U.S. construction forecasters also projects a 6.2 percent increase of spending in 2013.
“With companies looking to bring back manufacturing jobs from overseas, there has been a sharp rise in demand for industrial facilities, which is leading to an upward revision in projections for future construction spending,” said AIA Chief Economist Kermit Baker, in an August 2 release. “Continued budget shortfalls at the state and local level, along with a depressed municipal bond market are holding the institutional market back from seeing similar upticks in spending.”
The AIA semi-annual Consensus Construction Forecast by segment is as follows:
| 2012 | 2013 | |
| Overall nonresidential | 4.4% | 6.2% |
| Commercial / Industrial | 5.7% | 10.2% |
| Industrial | 12.9% | 8.1% |
| Hotels | 9.5% | 18.2% |
| Retail | 6.2% | 9.0% |
| Office buildings | 4.7% | 8.7% |
| Institutional | 0.7% | 3.0% |
| Healthcare facilities | 4.0% | 7.5% |
| Education | 0.3% | 1.1% |
| Amusement / recreation | 0.1% | 2.3% |
| Public safety | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Religious | 5.0% | 3.0% |

