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April Dodge Momentum Index Rises 9%, Nears All-time High

The Dodge Momentum Index moved 6 percent higher in April to 164.8, up from the revised March reading of 155.0. The Momentum Index, issued by Dodge Construction Network, is a monthly measure of the initial report for nonresidential building projects in planning shown to lead construction spending for nonresidential buildings by a full year. In April, the commercial component of the Momentum Index rose 9 percent, while the institutional component moved 2 percent higher.

Index nears all-time high

With the gain in April, the Dodge Momentum Index was just 5 percent shy of the all-time high set in the fall of 2021. The main impetus behind this trend is the commercial sector, which has been driven by a growing number of data center, warehouse and hotel projects entering the planning queue. The institutional component has made moderate improvements as well, as more education, healthcare and recreation projects begin the planning process. On a year-over-year basis, the Momentum Index was 17 percent higher than in April 2021. The commercial component was 15 percent higher, while the institutional component was 22 percent higher than a year ago.

Major projects enter planning stage

A total of 25 projects with a value of $100 million or more entered planning in April. The leading commercial projects were the $208 million Colo 1 data center in Ashburn, Virginia, and the $150 million QTS data center in Fort Worth, Texas. The leading institutional projects were the $300 million Banner Hospital in Buckeye, Arizona, and the $287 million IU Health Saxony Hospital in Fishers, Minnesota.

Backlog strong for nonresidential

The planning backlog for nonresidential building projects continues to fill, which should provide optimism that construction activity should remain solid in the months to come. However, rising interest rates and the continued increase in material prices will moderate any rising trend through the remainder of 2022.

chart of Dodge Momentum Index